I was recently asked "When are we moving to Vista?"
My response: "I'm not sure yet."
Seems, I'm not alone.
I was reading an article that provided details regarding companies upgrading to Vista, and 87% of CIOs/CTOs said that they wouldn't be moving anytime soon, but rather, they would stay with their current versions of Windows. This is bad news for Microsoft, and potentially good news for other alternate OS's, like Apple's OSX. In the same survey, interest in Apple's OSX in the enterprise went from 0% to 4%. That is quite a jump in just a year's time. Perhaps Microsoft's release of Vista has given Apple some time to make further in-roads into the enterprise. Improvements in Apple's upcoming Leopard should include more enterprise-ready features if they are to increase their penetration into the corporate world.
As for Vista, I think that the 87% of people unwilling or not planning to move is very telling with regards to the OS's success (or lack thereof). There is already talk that Microsoft's next OS will be targeted for 2010. As a Director of IT, if I don't move to Vista now, will I a year from now knowing that a new version of the OS is coming out? I think by and large, many companies will skip Vista and see what comes from Microsoft next. There will be no mass rollouts of Vista.
Vista will make its way into the enterprise through attrition. As old PCs and laptops are replaced, and sellers like Dell, IBM and others push Vista, there will be some penetration, but not a lot. Already, companies who order machines that come preloaded with Vista, simply reformat the machine and then install XP. That will continue for a while and manufactures will need to continue to offer XP loaded machines because that is what their customers will be asking for. In my opinion, there just wasn't enough new in Vista to warrant making a switch to it. Yes, it's just my opinion, but it seems that perhaps 87% of people agree with me.
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